Portfolio Calculator
This portfolio calculator estimates your investment mix's expected return, risk, and long-term growth based on how your money is divided among stocks, bonds, real estate, and cash. Enter your holdings above to see your projected return, volatility, and Sharpe ratio in seconds.
The figures are based on long-run historical averages used as model assumptions, so treat them as estimates, not guarantees. Use the calculator to see how changes to your asset mix affect the balance between risk and reward.
It models only an unleveraged mix. If you're borrowing against the account itself, see our guide to portfolio margin and leverage to understand how that risk works instead.
Portfolio calculators
How it works
The portfolio calculator turns your asset mix into three core numbers: expected return, volatility, and the Sharpe ratio. Expected return is the weighted average of each asset class's long-run estimate. Volatility measures how much your value may swing year to year, and it accounts for how assets move together. Because stocks and bonds often move differently, holding both lowers volatility more than it lowers return. That is diversification, sometimes called the only free lunch in investing.
The Sharpe ratio equals expected return minus the 2.5% risk-free rate, divided by volatility, so it rewards return per unit of risk. A 100% stock mix has a higher expected return but usually a worse Sharpe ratio than a diversified mix. Take a balanced $100,000 portfolio of $60,000 stocks, $30,000 bonds, and $10,000 cash, contributing $500 a month. It shows a 7.45% expected return, 9.87% volatility, and a 0.50 Sharpe ratio. These outputs rest on model assumptions drawn from historical averages, so they are estimates, not promises of future results. Dig deeper with the asset allocation calculator and the portfolio risk calculator.
This calculator models pre-tax return and risk, not what you actually keep after taxes. If part of your mix sits in a regular taxable brokerage account, selling a winner to rebalance or fund a goal triggers capital gains tax. That tax shrinks the return shown above before it ever reaches your pocket. The taxable vs. tax-deferred calculator shows how much that tax bite costs over time compared with holding the same mix inside a 401(k) or IRA.
If retirement is why you're running these numbers, treat this calculator as one piece of a bigger plan. The retirement calculator layers your Social Security estimate, savings rate, and withdrawal plan on top of the return and risk figures shown here. Together they show whether this specific asset mix actually gets you to your retirement goal.
Frequently asked questions
What does this portfolio calculator do?
This portfolio calculator analyzes your asset mix to estimate expected return, risk, and long-term growth. You enter how much you hold in stocks, bonds, real estate, and cash. It then returns a weighted expected return, a portfolio volatility figure, and a Sharpe ratio. To go deeper on any one piece, try the asset allocation calculator or the expected return calculator.
How does diversification lower my risk?
Diversification lowers risk by spreading money across assets that do not move together. The SEC notes that diversification can limit losses when one investment falls but others hold up. Because stocks and bonds often move in different directions, a blended portfolio swings less than a single asset class. This is why volatility can drop more than expected return, giving you a better risk-adjusted result. Read the volatility figure above as your portfolio's diversification score. The lower it sits compared with an all-stock mix, the more your holdings are actually spreading risk instead of moving together.
What is a good Sharpe ratio?
A higher Sharpe ratio is better because it means more return per unit of risk. The example balanced portfolio above shows a Sharpe ratio of 0.50. A 100% stock mix may earn a higher expected return but often posts a lower Sharpe ratio, since its risk rises faster than its reward. Use the portfolio risk calculator to compare risk-adjusted results across mixes.
Are the return and risk figures guaranteed?
No, the figures are estimates, not guarantees. They use long-run historical averages as model assumptions, such as 10% expected return for stocks and 4% for bonds. Real markets vary widely from year to year, and past performance does not predict future results. In the example, a typical year for the balanced portfolio could range from about $97,583 to $117,317. To see how a specific mix would have actually performed across real historical market cycles instead of a model estimate, compare the best portfolio backtesting tools.
What growth can a balanced portfolio show over time?
Growth depends on your mix, contributions, and time horizon. In the example, a $100,000 balanced portfolio with $500 monthly contributions projects to about $679,255 over 20 years. Of that total, $220,000 is contributions and $459,255 is estimated growth. The classic 60/30/10 split is close to a 60/40 portfolio calculator mix, and you can compare more tools on our calculators page.
What do portfolio alpha, attribution, and tracking error actually measure?
Alpha measures the return your portfolio earned above what a benchmark like the S&P 500 would predict for the same amount of risk. Attribution splits that gap into two pieces: how much came from your overall asset mix, and how much came from the specific holdings you picked. Tracking error measures how closely your return follows a chosen benchmark day to day. Duration measures how much a bond's price moves for each 1% change in interest rates. This calculator computes your expected return, volatility, and Sharpe ratio directly, and each of those other measures is built from those same inputs. It doesn't output a separate alpha, attribution, or duration number for every holding. A portfolio concentrated in one stock shows higher volatility here than the same money spread across stocks, bonds, real estate, and cash. That volatility gap is the same risk alpha, attribution, and concentration analysis are all trying to describe in more specialized terms. For the exact formula behind beta, variance, turnover, and NAV, with worked examples, see our portfolio metrics formulas guide.
How do fees affect my portfolio return?
Fees reduce your return every year, and because your portfolio compounds, that reduction compounds too. Take the balanced $100,000 portfolio example above, growing at a 7.45% expected return with $500 added monthly: over 20 years it reaches about $679,255. Add a 1% annual fund fee and the return drops to 6.45%. The same portfolio then reaches only about $580,764, a gap of roughly $98,490 lost to fees alone over the same 20 years. Run your own numbers through the calculator above at a lower return to see what a real fund fee would cost your specific mix.
Sources
We prioritize primary sources for rules, formulas, rates, limits, and definitions. See our calculator methodology and editorial policy.